Saturday, November 12, 2022

Brexit was a break from Germany+Russia, not from the EU

I misjudged the true British reason behind Brexit. On the surface, the immediate motivation seemed to be stopping of the immigration, but from the perspective of those 8 years I realised that it was just the pretext. Looking back into the events of 2008 and 2014 I realized that the British were probably horrified by the Russian military aggression: an incursion against Georgia resulting in carving out about 1/3 of the Georgian territory. Absence of any major political resistance form the EU (except isolated protests of Poland and the Baltics). I think British probably knew that the real reason behind a non-reaction from the EU has been a deep Russian (from the Soviet days) infiltration by agents and capture of an entire German political leadership by Russia. We know from Snowden leaks about a massive surveillance program of the German elites by the CIA. A question nobody has been asking is the reason behind that surveilliance. Perhaps CIA had a good reason to tap their phones?

A lack of substantial retaliation by the EU for the annexation of Crimea and Donbass by Russia in 2014 should not not come as a surprise given a degree of German infiltration by Russia who was able to subtly squash all retaliatory attempts against itself. In addition, acceptance of 2M of refugees into Germany around the same time, followed by German government attempts ar dumping them to other countries, created a convenient political crisis and distraction. Distracting the EU away from a much more pressing issue - of stopping Russian millitary expansion and agentural infiltration of the EU.

An almost simultaneous preparations of the British to exit the EU become now totally understandable, the economic cost notwithstanding.

Last but not least, when one looks at the past, British interests were never aligned neither with Russia, nor with any German-Russian alliance or pipelines. Germany are Britain's biggest competitors, while Russia doesn't have anything that Britain can't get anywhere else for less money and with less risk. It is interesting to notice how the British investment in Russian oil and gas fields were confiscated by Russia around that time! They haven't forgotten haven't they?

It is not in the British interests to help or be part of neither German sphere, nor Russia's nor facillitate any alliance between those two! Also, it is not now (nor in the 1850-ties!) in the British interests to allow turning the Black Sea into a Russian controlled zone.

No wonder that come 2022 the UK was already prepared and must have pre-planned well in advance repel Russian military attack and help Ukraine from day 1. So were some other governments of the EU, most notably Polish government and the Baltics. Basically looks like many of the EU + UK governments must have been preparing for the Russian military atack for some time accumulating enough supplies as well as placing military orders, to be able to immediately send huge arms supplies to Ukraine. All except German government.

When the "fog of war" settles we are going to learn some amazing stories.

Reference:
http://bleszynskimainstream.blogspot.com/search/label/Brexit

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